The United States and Mexico are nearing a potential trade agreement that would establish a quota system for steel imports, potentially reducing tariffs on a designated volume of Mexican steel. According to a report from Bloomberg, the deal is aimed at easing the steep duties that continue to affect American manufacturers reliant on foreign steel.
While the deal is still under development, it would allow a fixed volume of Mexican steel to enter the U.S. at a reduced tariff rate of 10%. Imports that exceed the threshold would be subject to the full 50% duty. The quota is expected to be based on historical averages, tracking closely with steel import volumes from 2015 to 2017 to avoid anomalies caused by the pandemic and recent trade surges.
Mexico is the third-largest source of steel imports to the United States, accounting for approximately 12% of all foreign steel imports. Under the proposal, the quota would be capped at roughly 2.8 million metric tons or about 88% of Mexico’s steel exports to the U.S. in 2024.
The Trump administration’s tariffs on steel and aluminum are part of a broader push to revitalize U.S. manufacturing. However, the policy has presented challenges for industries such as automotive and construction, which rely on stable access to imported materials. The proposed quota structure is a compromise that preserves domestic production while easing supply chain pressures on American companies.
The tariff-rate quotas will be a beneficial tool to manage import volumes without completely shutting out foreign suppliers. The administration has applied similar tools in deals with other key trading partners, such as the United Kingdom, to allow a limited volume of goods to enter at reduced rates while enforcing higher tariffs on shipments beyond the established cap.
Talks between the United States and Mexico are ongoing, and no final deal has been announced. However, the emerging framework suggests both sides are working toward a solution that offers partial relief to U.S. manufacturers without removing the protections domestic steel producers have called for.